Tag: Unit-3 Statistics and Econometrics MCQs

  • UGC NET Economics Unit 3-Statistics and Econometrics-MCQs

    Section A: Probability & Distributions


    1. The probability of an impossible event is:
    A) 0 B) 1 C) 0.5 D) ∞
    Answer: A
    📘 Explanation: An impossible event cannot occur, so its probability = 0.


    2. The sum of probabilities of all exhaustive events equals:
    A) 0 B) 1 C) 100 D) Depends on events
    Answer: B
    📘 Because all possible outcomes together make probability 1.


    3. If A and B are independent, P(AB) =
    A) P(A)+P(B) B) P(AB) C) P(A)P(B) D) 0
    Answer: C
    📘 For independent events, joint probability is product of individual probabilities.


    4. The expected value of a constant is:
    A) 0 B) The constant itself C) 1 D) Undefined
    Answer: B
    📘 Expected value (mean) of a constant is the constant itself.


    5. In a normal distribution, the mean, median, and mode are:
    A) Different B) Equal C) Opposite D) Undefined
    Answer: B
    📘 The normal curve is symmetric, so all three are equal.


    6. The Poisson distribution is used for:
    A) Continuous data B) Rare discrete events C) Large samples D) Normal data
    Answer: B
    📘 Poisson models rare events (like accidents per hour).


    7. The sum of probabilities in a binomial distribution equals:
    A) 0 B) n C) 1 D) Mean
    Answer: C
    📘 The total of all probabilities always sums to 1.


    8. In a normal distribution, about 95% observations lie within:
    A) ±1σ B) ±2σ C) ±3σ D) ±4σ
    Answer: B
    📘 According to the empirical rule, 95% of data lies within 2 standard deviations.


    9. If mean = 50 and variance = 25, then standard deviation =
    A) 5 B) 25 C) 2 D) 10
    Answer: A
    📘 SD=Variance=25=5.


    10. Central Limit Theorem implies that:
    A) Population distribution becomes normal
    B) Sample mean becomes normal for large n
    C) Sample variance = population variance
    D) Mean = 0
    Answer: B
    📘 CLT → sampling distribution of mean → normal as n increases.


    Section B: Descriptive Statistics


    11. Mean of 5, 10, 15 is:
    A) 10 B) 15 C) 12 D) 30
    Answer: A
    📘 (5+10+15)/3=10.


    12. Median of {1, 3, 3, 6, 7, 8, 9} =
    A) 3 B) 6 C) 7 D) 5
    Answer: B
    📘 Middle term = 6.


    13. The most frequent value in a dataset is called:
    A) Mean B) Median C) Mode D) Range
    Answer: C
    📘 Mode = most occurring value.


    14. Range =
    A) Mean – median B) Max – Min C) SD² D) Mode + mean
    Answer: B
    📘 Range measures total spread of data.


    15. The coefficient of variation (CV) =
    A) MeanSD×100 B) SDMean×100 C) SD+Mean D) SDMean
    Answer: B
    📘 CV measures relative dispersion.


    16. If r = +1, then correlation is:
    A) Perfect positive B) Perfect negative C) No correlation D) Moderate
    Answer: A
    📘 +1 → perfect positive linear relationship.


    17. Karl Pearson’s r is used to measure:
    A) Association B) Central tendency C) Variability D) Forecasting
    Answer: A
    📘 It measures linear association between two variables.


    18. Fisher’s Ideal Index =
    A) Laspeyres × Paasche B) L×P C) L/P D) L + P
    Answer: B
    📘 Geometric mean of Laspeyres and Paasche indices.


    19. If the correlation coefficient is 0, the regression slope will be:
    A) 0 B) 1 C) Undefined D) Infinite
    Answer: A
    📘 Zero correlation → no linear relationship → slope = 0.


    20. If data are highly spread out, the SD will be:
    A) Low B) High C) Zero D) Negative
    Answer: B
    📘 Greater dispersion → higher SD.


    Section C: Sampling & Inference


    21. Sampling error arises due to:
    A) Mistakes in data B) Incomplete sampling C) Using sample instead of population D) Wrong hypothesis
    Answer: C
    📘 Occurs because sample may not perfectly represent population.


    22. In random sampling, every item has:
    A) Equal chance B) Unequal chance C) No chance D) Weightage-based chance
    Answer: A
    📘 Random → equal probability for all.


    23. Stratified sampling is used when:
    A) Population is homogeneous B) Population is heterogeneous C) Sample is large D) Randomness is not possible
    Answer: B
    📘 Used to ensure all subgroups (strata) are represented.


    24. Sampling distribution refers to:
    A) Population distribution B) Distribution of a statistic over samples C) Normal curve D) Regression model
    Answer: B
    📘 Sampling distribution = distribution of sample statistics like mean.


    25. Standard Error =
    A) σn B) nσ C) σ2 D) nσ
    Answer: A
    📘 SE shows variability of sample mean.


    26. Type I error =
    A) Rejecting true H₀ B) Accepting false H₀ C) Accepting true H₀ D) Rejecting false H₀
    Answer: A
    📘 α-error: reject a true null hypothesis.


    27. Type II error =
    A) Reject true H₀ B) Accept false H₀ C) Increase sample size D) Wrong distribution
    Answer: B
    📘 β-error: fail to reject a false null hypothesis.


    28. When population variance is unknown and n < 30, use:
    A) z-test B) t-test C) F-test D) χ²-test
    Answer: B
    📘 t-test handles small samples.


    29. The χ² test is used for:
    A) Comparing means B) Testing independence C) Regression D) Correlation
    Answer: B
    📘 Chi-square → tests association or goodness of fit.


    30. Power of a test =
    A) 1 − α B) 1 − β C) α + β D) α × β
    Answer: B
    📘 Power = probability of correctly rejecting false H₀.


    Section D: Regression & Econometrics


    31. Regression equation: Y=a+bX+u — here “b” is:
    A) Constant B) Slope coefficient C) Error D) Mean
    Answer: B
    📘 b measures rate of change of Y per unit X.


    32. In simple linear regression, number of parameters =
    A) 1 B) 2 C) 3 D) Depends on variables
    Answer: B
    📘 a (intercept) and b (slope).


    33. BLUE stands for:
    A) Best Linear Unbiased Estimator B) Basic Least Unbiased Equation C) Biased Linear Ultimate Estimation D) None
    Answer: A
    📘 Gauss-Markov theorem: OLS estimators are BLUE.


    34. OLS estimators are BLUE when:
    A) Errors are correlated B) Homoscedasticity holds C) Mean of errors ≠ 0 D) Multicollinearity exists
    Answer: B
    📘 Constant error variance (homoscedasticity) is one key assumption.


    35. Multicollinearity refers to:
    A) Correlation among independent variables B) Correlation between errors C) Correlation between X and u D) Serial correlation
    Answer: A
    📘 Independent variables highly correlated → multicollinearity.


    36. Heteroscedasticity means:
    A) Constant variance B) Changing variance of errors C) Equal variance D) No variance
    Answer: B
    📘 Non-constant variance → violates OLS assumption.


    37. Autocorrelation occurs when:
    A) Errors are independent B) Errors depend on past errors C) Variance constant D) Errors are random
    Answer: B
    📘 Common in time series data.


    38. The problem of simultaneous equations arises because:
    A) Variables are exogenous B) Variables are interdependent C) Errors are normal D) Sample is small
    Answer: B
    📘 Endogenous variables appear on both sides → simultaneity.


    39. Recursive models:
    A) Have feedback loops B) Have one-way causation C) Are non-identifiable D) Require IV estimation
    Answer: B
    📘 Recursive → unidirectional, solvable by OLS.


    40. Identification problem arises in:
    A) Single equation B) Simultaneous equations C) Cross-section data D) Random sampling
    Answer: B
    📘 Occurs when equations cannot be uniquely estimated.


    41. Logit and Probit models are used when dependent variable is:
    A) Continuous B) Binary C) Time series D) Multivariate
    Answer: B
    📘 Discrete choice → 0/1 outcome.


    42. Instrumental variables are used to correct:
    A) Heteroscedasticity B) Endogeneity C) Autocorrelation D) Multicollinearity
    Answer: B
    📘 IVs eliminate endogeneity bias.


    43. Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) is used for:
    A) Recursive models B) Non-recursive models C) OLS D) Binary models
    Answer: B
    📘 2SLS → estimation of simultaneous equations.


    Section E: Time Series & Miscellaneous


    44. Components of time series include all except:
    A) Trend B) Seasonal C) Cyclical D) Random Sampling
    Answer: D
    📘 Random sampling isn’t a time series component.


    45. The long-term movement in a time series is called:
    A) Trend B) Seasonal variation C) Cycle D) Random
    Answer: A
    📘 Trend shows overall direction.


    46. Seasonal variations repeat:
    A) Monthly B) Annually C) Daily D) Randomly
    Answer: B
    📘 Seasonal → same pattern every year.


    47. Stationary time series has:
    A) Changing mean B) Constant mean and variance C) Random trend D) Increasing variance
    Answer: B
    📘 Stationarity → constant mean, variance, covariance.


    48. ARIMA models are used for:
    A) Regression B) Forecasting time series C) Sampling D) Testing hypotheses
    Answer: B
    📘 ARIMA = AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average → forecasting.


    49. Autocorrelation refers to:
    A) Correlation between different variables B) Correlation between current and past values C) Randomness D) Error-free data
    Answer: B
    📘 Measures serial dependence in time series.


    50. Durbin-Watson test is used to detect:
    A) Heteroscedasticity B) Multicollinearity C) Autocorrelation D) Nonlinearity
    Answer: C
    📘 DW statistic → tests autocorrelation in regression residuals.